CIS Microfiche Library 1970-2002 (CIS Asia Pacific Collection)

 CIS NO: 86-H382-19
 TITLE: Assessing America's Options in the Philippines.
 SOURCE: Committee on Foreign Affairs. House
 DOC TYPE: Print                     COLLATION: vii+141 p. il.
 DATE: Feb. 3, 1986
 CONGRESS-SESSION: 99-2              SUDOC: Y4.F76/1:Am3/12
 ITEM NO: 1017-A; 1017-B
 LC CARD NO: 86-603358               MC ENTRY NO: 86-18858

 Edited transcript of a Feb. 3, 1986 workshop, co-sponsored by the Subcom on
 Asian and Pacific Affairs, CRS, and the Woodrow Wilson International Center
 for Scholars, to examine political and economic trends in the Philippines
 and the implications for U.S. policy in light of the Philippine Presidential
 elections scheduled for Feb. 7, 1986.
   CRS Acting Director Joseph E. Ross, CRS National Affairs Division Chief
 Stanley J. Heginbotham, and Wilson Center Director James H. Billington
 present opening statements (p. 1-2, 103).
 CONTENT NOTATION: Philippine pres elections, political devs, and US policy
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): SUBCOM ON ASIAN AND PACIFIC
     AFFAIRS. HOUSE; CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE; ROSS, JOSEPH E.;
     HEGINBOTHAM, STANLEY J.; BILLINGTON, JAMES H.; PHILIPPINES (Pres
     elections, political devs, and US policy); PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS;
     FOREIGN.RELATIONS; ECONOMIC.POLICY; WOODROW WILSON INTERNATIONAL
     CENTER FOR SCHOLARS

 86-H382-19 TESTIMONY NO: 1         Feb. 3, 1986 p. 2-28
 MODERATOR:
     NIKSCH, Larry A., Sr Analyst, Asian Aff, CRS.
 PANELISTS:
     NIEHAUS, Marjorie, Bur of Intelligence and Research, State Dept.
     GREGOR, A. James, political science prof, Univ of Calif.
     KESSLER, Richard, sr assoc, Carnegie Endowment for Intl Peace.
 STATEMENTS AND DISCUSSION: Background on and issues involved in Philippine
     Presidential election; assessment of Presidential candidates' prospects;
     differing views on reliability of Philippine opinion polls.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Philippine pres elections, political devs, and US policy
 DESCRIPTORS: CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE;
     DEPARTMENT.OF.STATE; PUBLIC.OPINION.POLLS; NIKSCH, LARRY A.;
     NIEHAUS, MARJORIE; GREGOR, A. JAMES; KESSLER, RICHARD J.

 86-H382-19 TESTIMONY NO: 2         Feb. 3, 1986 p. 28-46
 MODERATOR:
     NIKSCH, Larry A., Sr Analyst, Asian Aff, CRS.
 PANELISTS:
     BUCZYNSKI, Richard, dir, Asian services, Wharton Econometric
        Forecasting Assocs.
     HOOLEY, Richard, prof, economics dept, Univ of Pittsburgh.
 STATEMENTS AND DISCUSSION: Problems with Philippine economy, including
     interrelation with political system; prospects for economic reform.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Philippine pres elections, political devs, and US policy
 DESCRIPTORS: WHARTON ECONOMETRIC FORECASTING ASSOCIATES; NIKSCH, LARRY
     A.; BUCZYNSKI, RICHARD J.; HOOLEY, RICHARD

 86-H382-19 TESTIMONY NO: 3         Feb. 3, 1986 p. 46-66
 MODERATOR:
     CRONIN, Richard, Head, Asian-Latin Amer Section, Foreign Aff and Natl
        Def Div, CRS.
 PANELIST:
     NIKSCH, Larry A., Sr Analyst, Asian Aff.
 COMMENTATOR:
     WISE, William (Lt. Col.), Asst for Regional Policy and Congressional
        Aff, East Asia and Pacific Region, DOD.
 STATEMENTS AND DISCUSSION: Assessment of military capabilities of and
     popular support for Philippine Communist insurgents; review of
     Philippine army deficiencies and reform efforts.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Philippine pres elections, political devs, and US policy
 DESCRIPTORS: DEPARTMENT.OF.DEFENSE; COMMUNISM; INSURGENCY; ARMED
     SERVICES; CRONIN, RICHARD; NIKSCH, LARRY A.; WISE, WILLIAM

 86-H382-19 TESTIMONY NO: 4         Feb. 3, 1986 p. 66-99
 MODERATOR:
     CRONIN, Richard, Head, Asian-Latin Amer Section, Foreign Aff and Natl
        Def Div, CRS.
 PANELIST:
     BOWEN, Alva M., Jr. (Capt, ret.), Sr Naval Analyst.
 COMMENTATORS:
     PFAUTZ, James C. (Maj. Gen., ret.), former Asst Chief of Staff,
        Intelligence, AF.
     FOLEY, Sylvester R., Jr. (Adm., ret.), DOE; former Cmdr, Pacific Fleet,
        Navy.
 STATEMENTS AND DISCUSSION: Analysis of options for U.S. military bases in
     Pacific ocean (maps, p. 68-87 passim); strategic importance of U.S.
     bases in the Philippines.
 CONTENT NOTATION: US military bases in Philippines, strategic importance
     and US options
 DESCRIPTORS: MILITARY.BASES,.POSTS.AND.RESERVATIONS; NATIONAL.DEFENSE;
     PACIFIC OCEAN AREA; CRONIN, RICHARD; BOWEN, ALVA M., JR.; PFAUTZ,
     JAMES C.; FOLEY, SYLVESTER R., JR.; MILITARY.STRATEGY

 86-H382-19 TESTIMONY NO: 5         Feb. 3, 1986 p. 103-141
 MODERATOR:
     MORSE, Ronald A., Sec, East Asia Program, Wilson Center.
 PANELISTS:
     ROSENBERG, David A., prof, Middlebury Coll.
     ARMACOST, Michael H., Under Sec for Political Aff, State Dept; former
        Ambassador, Philippines.
     SOLARZ, Stephen J., (Rep, D-NY)
 STATEMENTS AND DISCUSSION: Perspectives on Philippine political situation;
     assessment of prospects for a fair election; views on role of Philippine
     National Citizens Movement for Free Elections and Commission on
     Elections in monitoring election; overview of Philippine groups
     affecting Presidential process.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Philippine pres elections, political devs, and US policy
 DESCRIPTORS: DEPARTMENT.OF.STATE; MORSE, RONALD A.; ROSENBERG, DAVID A.;
     ARMACOST, MICHAEL H.; SOLARZ, STEPHEN J.; NATIONAL CITIZENS MOVEMENT
     FOR FREE ELECTIONS; COMMISSION ON ELECTIONS