CIS Microfiche Library 1970-2002 (CIS Asia Pacific Collection)

 CIS NO: 78-J841-7
 TITLE: Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China, 1977, Part 3.
 SOURCE: Committee on Economic. Joint
 DOC TYPE: Hearing                   COLLATION: vii+193 p. il.
 DATE: June 23, 30, July 6, 1977
 CONGRESS-SESSION: 95-1              SUDOC: Y4.Ec7:So8/12/977/pt.3
 ITEM NO: 1000
 LC CARD NO: 77-603633               MC ENTRY NO: 78-19085

 Continuation of hearings before the Subcom on Priorities and Economy in
 Government to examine allocation of resources in the Soviet Union and the
 People's Republic of China (PRC) during 1977.
   This volume includes transcripts of executive sessions on June 23 and 30,
 1977, previously issued in summary form (see 1977 CIS/Annual, J841-32,
 J841-33).
   Classified material has been deleted. Includes tables and graphs
 throughout.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Soviet and Chinese economic conditions impact on def
     spending
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): SUBCOM ON PRIORITIES AND
     ECONOMY IN GOVERNMENT. JOINT; SOVIET UNION (Economic conditions impact
     on def spending); CHINA, PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC (Economic conditions impact
     on def spending); STATISTICAL DATA: GOVERNMENT; DEFENSE EXPENDITURES;
     MILITARY.WEAPONS (Soviet and Chinese military weapons technology,
     status); INTELLIGENCE SERVICES (Soviet and Chinese economic conditions
     and military capabilities, data reliability)

 78-J841-7 TESTIMONY NO: 1          June 23, 1977 p. 2-64
 WITNESSES (and witness notations):
     TURNER, STANSFIELD (Dir, CIA)
     STEVENS, SAYRE (Dep Dir, Intelligence)
 Accompanied by
     DIAMOND, DOUGLAS B. (Office of Economic Research.)
 STATEMENTS: Assessment of Soviet economic conditions and trends, including
     viewed Soviet economic deceleration and petroleum resources shortage;
     analysis of Soviet defense costs, goals, and capabilities; viewed lack
     of growth in 1976 PRC economy and defense expenditures; assessment of
     obstacles to PRC economic expansion. (p. 2-45)
 DISCUSSION: Clarification of Soviet oil production problems; impact of
     Soviet-PRC relations and Soviet consumer demands on economies;
     technological status of Soviet and Chinese weapons. (p. 45-64)
 CONTENT NOTATION: Soviet and Chinese economic conditions impact on def
     spending
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY;
     PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM INDUSTRY (Soviet petroleum resources shortage
     impact on def spending)

 78-J841-7 TESTIMONY NO: 2          June 30, 1977 p. 66-112
 WITNESSES (and witness notations):
     WILSON, SAMUEL V. (Lt. Gen.) (Maj.) (Dir, Def Intelligence Agency
        (DIA)); accompanied by MILLER, JAMES R. (Aerospace Engr,
        Directorate for Scientific and Technical Intelligence); MICHAUD,
        NORBERT D. (Ops Research Analyst, Military Economics); WALLACE,
        BRUCE A. (Maj.) (Soviet Force Dev Specialist) and ROMANCE, FRANCIS
        J. (Eastern Div, Directorate for Intelligence Production)
 STATEMENT AND DISCUSSION: Description of Soviet and Chinese military
     forces and Soviet weapons modernization program; review of DIA-CIA
     dollar and ruble estimates of Soviet defense expenditures and their
     impact on Soviet economy; assessment of Soviet civil defense program.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Soviet and Chinese economic conditions impact on def
     spending
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY;
     DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE AGENCY; CIVIL DEFENSE (Soviet civil def program
     assessment)

 78-J841-7 TESTIMONY NO: 3          July 6, 1977 p. 114-136
 WITNESSES (and witness notations):
     WARNKE, PAUL C. (Dir, Arms Control and Disarmament Agency)
 STATEMENT AND DISCUSSION: Reliability of U.S. knowledge of Soviet economy
     and military expenditures; viewed deceleration of Soviet economy;
     economic impact of arms control agreements on U.S. and Soviet economies;
     assessment of U.S. and Soviet military weapons technological development
     and force readiness.
 CONTENT NOTATION: Soviet economic conditions impact on def spending
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): ARMS CONTROL AND DISARMAMENT
     (US and Soviet economies impact); ARMS CONTROL AND DISARMAMENT AGENCY

 78-J841-7 TESTIMONY NO: 4          July 6, 1977 p. 136-193
 WITNESSES (and witness notations):
     BECKER, ABRAHAM S. (sr economist, Rand Corp)
     BLECHMAN, BARRY M. (sr fellow and head, def analysis staff, Brookings
        Instn)
     HARDT, JOHN P. (Sr Specialist, Soviet Economics, CRS)
 STATEMENTS: Proposal for and problems associated with a U.S.-Soviet
     defense spending limitation agreement; comparison of U.S. and Soviet
     military capabilities in various geographical regions; factors limiting
     reliability of available Soviet economic and military data, including
     Soviet secrecy and accounting procedures; viewed ambiguity and bias of
     U.S. assessments. (p. 136-179)
 DISCUSSION: Differing views on reliability of Soviet's economic and
     defense data; opposition to defense spending limitation agreement; views
     on Soviet military buildup and U.S. and Soviet military readiness. (p.
     179-193)
 INSERTION: "Soviet Economic Capabilities and Defense Resources," J. P.
     Hardt, paper based on address to NATO Cmdrs, May 12, 1977 (p. 169-179).
 CONTENT NOTATION: Soviet economic conditions impact on def spending
 DESCRIPTORS (and special content notations): CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH
     SERVICE; ACCOUNTING AND AUDITING (Soviet def spending data
     unreliability); NATIONAL.DEFENSE (US-Soviet military capabilities by
     geographic region); NATO; RAND CORP.